rank#3
Tampa Bay Lightning
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 | #16 | @ New York Rangers | 6-4-0 | 5 | L | New York Rangers (+0.27) | 0% | -4.27 | |||||||
| #8 | Washington Capitals | 5-3-0 | 1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.59) | 100% | 1.41 | |||||||
| #28 | Philadelphia Flyers | 1-8-1 | 1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.69) | 100% | 2.31 | |||||||
| #6 | Minnesota Wild | 5-3-0 | 2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.32) | 100% | 0.68 | |||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | #14 | @ New York Islanders | 4-3-1 | 3 | W | New York Islanders (+0.13) | 100% | 1.87 | |||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 | #16 | @ New York Rangers | 6-4-0 | 4 | L | New York Rangers (+0.07) | 0% | -3.07 | |||||||
| #25 | Seattle Kraken | 4-4-1 | 3 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.70) | 100% | 0.30 | |||||||
| #32 | Vancouver Canucks | 2-8-0 | 2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.36) | 100% | 0.64 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #4 | @ Vegas Golden Knights | 7-2-1 | L | Vegas Golden Knights (-0.26) | 41% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #2 | @ Colorado Avalanche | 5-2-1 | L | Colorado Avalanche (-0.56) | 36% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #10 | @ Utah Mammoth | 6-3-0 | L | Utah Mammoth (-0.36) | 39% | ||||||||||
| #23 | Winnipeg Jets | 4-4-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.76) | 60% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #21 | @ Nashville Predators | 3-3-2 | W | Nashville Predators (+0.23) | 51% | ||||||||||
| #22 | Detroit Red Wings | 2-4-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.03) | 65% | ||||||||||
| #30 | Chicago Blackhawks | 3-6-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.41) | 70% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #6 | @ Minnesota Wild | 5-3-0 | W | Minnesota Wild (+0.09) | 48% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #23 | @ Winnipeg Jets | 4-4-0 | W | Winnipeg Jets (+0.00) | 46% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #9 | @ Buffalo Sabres | 4-4-1 | L | Buffalo Sabres (-0.05) | 45% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #20 | @ Columbus Blue Jackets | 2-3-1 | L | Columbus Blue Jackets (-0.07) | 45% | ||||||||||
| #22 | Detroit Red Wings | 2-4-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.75) | 60% | ||||||||||
| #8 | Washington Capitals | 5-3-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.38) | 53% | ||||||||||
| #11 | Edmonton Oilers | 6-2-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.41) | 54% | ||||||||||
| #9 | Buffalo Sabres | 4-4-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.71) | 59% | ||||||||||
| #1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 7-2-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.02) | 47% | ||||||||||
| #13 | Ottawa Senators | 4-3-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.48) | 55% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #17 | @ Florida Panthers | 5-4-0 | W | Florida Panthers (+0.18) | 50% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #12 | @ Montréal Canadiens | 2-4-2 | L | Montréal Canadiens (-0.00) | 46% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #13 | @ Ottawa Senators | 4-3-2 | W | Ottawa Senators (+0.00) | 46% | ||||||||||
| #20 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2-3-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.69) | 59% | ||||||||||
| #5 | Boston Bruins | 7-2-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.28) | 52% | ||||||||||
| #15 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 2-5-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.50) | 56% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #24 | @ St. Louis Blues | 3-5-0 | W | St. Louis Blues (+0.25) | 51% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #15 | @ Pittsburgh Penguins | 2-5-2 | W | Pittsburgh Penguins (+0.02) | 47% | ||||||||||
| #31 | Calgary Flames | 1-6-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.22) | 68% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #27 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 3-5-1 | W | Toronto Maple Leafs (+0.34) | 53% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #22 | @ Detroit Red Wings | 2-4-2 | L | Detroit Red Wings (-0.00) | 46% | ||||||||||
| #24 | St. Louis Blues | 3-5-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.01) | 64% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #17 | @ Florida Panthers | 5-4-0 | W | Florida Panthers (+0.18) | 50% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #1 | @ Carolina Hurricanes | 7-2-0 | L | Carolina Hurricanes (-0.46) | 38% | ||||||||||
| #21 | Nashville Predators | 3-3-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.71) | 59% | ||||||||||
| #12 | Montréal Canadiens | 2-4-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.48) | 55% | ||||||||||
| #9 | Buffalo Sabres | 4-4-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.43) | 54% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #25 | @ Seattle Kraken | 4-4-1 | W | Seattle Kraken (+0.30) | 52% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #32 | @ Vancouver Canucks | 2-8-0 | W | Vancouver Canucks (+0.89) | 62% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #31 | @ Calgary Flames | 1-6-0 | W | Calgary Flames (+0.74) | 60% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #11 | @ Edmonton Oilers | 6-2-0 | L | Edmonton Oilers (-0.07) | 45% | ||||||||||
| #4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 7-2-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.22) | 50% | ||||||||||
| #13 | Ottawa Senators | 4-3-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.48) | 55% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #5 | @ Boston Bruins | 7-2-0 | L | Boston Bruins (-0.19) | 43% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #19 | @ New Jersey Devils | 4-4-0 | W | New Jersey Devils (+0.28) | 52% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #22 | @ Detroit Red Wings | 2-4-2 | W | Detroit Red Wings (+0.28) | 51% | ||||||||||
| #29 | Los Angeles Kings | 0-6-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.94) | 63% | ||||||||||
| #14 | New York Islanders | 4-3-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.56) | 57% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #15 | @ Pittsburgh Penguins | 2-5-2 | W | Pittsburgh Penguins (+0.02) | 47% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #28 | @ Philadelphia Flyers | 1-8-1 | W | Philadelphia Flyers (+0.05) | 47% | ||||||||||
| #7 | Dallas Stars | 3-3-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.26) | 51% | ||||||||||
| #2 | Colorado Avalanche | 5-2-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | L | Tampa Bay Lightning (+0.08) | 45% | ||||||||||
| #17 | Florida Panthers | 5-4-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.66) | 58% | ||||||||||
| #18 | Anaheim Ducks | 4-3-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.75) | 60% | ||||||||||
| #27 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3-5-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.82) | 61% | ||||||||||
| #26 | San Jose Sharks | 3-3-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.95) | 64% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #7 | @ Dallas Stars | 3-3-2 | L | Dallas Stars (-0.22) | 42% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #1 | @ Carolina Hurricanes | 7-2-0 | L | Carolina Hurricanes (-0.46) | 38% | ||||||||||
| #10 | Utah Mammoth | 6-3-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.12) | 49% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #29 | @ Los Angeles Kings | 0-6-0 | W | Los Angeles Kings (+0.46) | 55% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #18 | @ Anaheim Ducks | 4-3-0 | W | Anaheim Ducks (+0.27) | 51% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #26 | @ San Jose Sharks | 3-3-2 | W | San Jose Sharks (+0.48) | 55% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #30 | @ Chicago Blackhawks | 3-6-0 | W | Chicago Blackhawks (+0.65) | 58% | ||||||||||
| #19 | New Jersey Devils | 4-4-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.98) | 64% | ||||||||||
| #14 | New York Islanders | 4-3-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.00) | 64% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #8 | @ Washington Capitals | 5-3-0 | L | Washington Capitals (-0.13) | 44% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #27 | @ Toronto Maple Leafs | 3-5-1 | W | Toronto Maple Leafs (+0.43) | 54% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #12 | @ Montréal Canadiens | 2-4-2 | L | Montréal Canadiens (-0.28) | 41% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #13 | @ Ottawa Senators | 4-3-2 | W | Ottawa Senators (+0.00) | 46% | ||||||||||
| #17 | Florida Panthers | 5-4-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.84) | 62% | ||||||||||
| #28 | Philadelphia Flyers | 1-8-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.03) | 65% | ||||||||||
| #16 | New York Rangers | 6-4-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.72) | 59% | ||||||||||
| #27 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3-5-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.05) | 65% | ||||||||||
| #20 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2-3-1 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.88) | 62% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #5 | @ Boston Bruins | 7-2-0 | L | Boston Bruins (-0.25) | 42% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #9 | @ Buffalo Sabres | 4-4-1 | L | Buffalo Sabres (-0.06) | 45% | ||||||||||
| Tampa Bay Lightning | #19 | @ New Jersey Devils | 4-4-0 | W | New Jersey Devils (+0.08) | 48% | ||||||||||
| #12 | Montréal Canadiens | 2-4-2 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.61) | 58% | ||||||||||
| #5 | Boston Bruins | 7-2-0 | @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W | Tampa Bay Lightning (-0.64) | 58% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 123-57-4<0.1%
- 222-56-6<0.1%
- 322-57-5<0.1%
- 424-58-2<0.1%
- 523-58-3<0.1%
- 621-55-8<0.1%
Chance of winning all 76 remaining games: <0.1%