rank#46
Texas State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Texas State | 7 | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | 59 | L | Texas (-17.95) | 0% | -34.05 | |||||||
| #39 | UTSA | 6-1 | 31 | @ Texas State | 26 | L | Texas State (+8.25) | 0% | 3.25 | |||||||
| #42 | North Texas | 4-2 | 35 | @ Texas State | 49 | W | Texas State (+13.56) | 100% | 27.56 | |||||||
| #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | 10 | @ Texas State | 63 | W | Texas State (-20.20) | 100% | 32.80 | |||||||
| Texas State | 29 | #81 | @ San Diego State | 3-4 | 31 | L | San Diego State (+0.82) | 0% | -2.82 | |||||||
| #99 | Colorado State | 2-4 | 27 | @ Texas State | 66 | W | Texas State (-9.12) | 100% | 29.88 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #107 | Utah State | 2-4 | @ Texas State | W | Texas State (-14.79) | 81% | ||||||||||
| Texas State | #20 | @ Boise State | 5-1 | L | Boise State (-8.82) | 29% | ||||||||||
| Texas State | #30 | @ Oregon State | 5-2 | L | Oregon State (-8.95) | 29% | ||||||||||
| #76 | Fresno State | 4-3 | @ Texas State | W | Texas State (-8.43) | 70% | ||||||||||
| #139 | Washington State | 1-6 | @ Texas State | W | Texas State (-14.34) | 81% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 16-541.1%
- 25-625.6%
- 37-422.5%
- 44-76.3%
- 58-33.9%
- 63-80.5%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.9%