rank#145
Incarnate Word
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Incarnate Word | 28 | #100 | @ Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 38 | L | Northern Arizona (-7.70) | 0% | -2.30 | |||||||
| #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | 23 | @ Incarnate Word | 30 | W | Incarnate Word (-17.02) | 100% | -10.02 | |||||||
| Incarnate Word | 10 | #46 | @ Texas State | 3-3 | 63 | L | Texas State (-20.20) | 0% | -32.80 | |||||||
| Incarnate Word | 26 | #69 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | 28 | L | Stephen F. Austin (-24.70) | 0% | 22.70 | |||||||
| Incarnate Word | 35 | #116 | @ Lamar | 5-2 | 38 | L | Lamar (-7.18) | 0% | 4.18 | |||||||
| #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | 16 | @ Incarnate Word | 41 | W | Incarnate Word (-3.56) | 100% | 21.44 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #179 | McNeese | 2-4 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-10.97) | 75% | ||||||||||
| #253 | Northwestern State | 0-6 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-27.48) | 94% | ||||||||||
| Incarnate Word | #153 | @ SE Louisiana | 4-3 | W | SE Louisiana (+0.14) | 50% | ||||||||||
| #234 | Nicholls | 2-5 | @ Incarnate Word | W | Incarnate Word (-25.51) | 93% | ||||||||||
| Incarnate Word | #208 | @ East Texas A&M | 2-5 | W | East Texas A&M (+8.75) | 71% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 16-543.6%
- 25-626.3%
- 37-423.2%
- 44-76.3%
- 53-80.6%
- 62-9<0.1%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 23.2%