rank#100
Northern Arizona
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #186 | Eastern Washington | 2-6 | 27 | @ Northern Arizona | 34 | W | Northern Arizona (-10.68) | 100% | -3.68 | |||||||
| Northern Arizona | 7 | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | 35 | L | Arizona (-27.87) | 0% | -0.13 | |||||||
| #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | 28 | @ Northern Arizona | 38 | W | Northern Arizona (-7.70) | 100% | 2.30 | |||||||
| Northern Arizona | 35 | #237 | @ Utah Tech | 0-7 | 23 | W | Utah Tech (+12.45) | 100% | -0.45 | |||||||
| Northern Arizona | 14 | #84 | @ Montana State | 6-1 | 28 | L | Montana State (-22.86) | 0% | 8.86 | |||||||
| Northern Arizona | 38 | #164 | @ Idaho State | 4-3 | 31 | W | Idaho State (-10.55) | 100% | 17.55 | |||||||
| #130 | Montana | 5-3 | 44 | @ Northern Arizona | 49 | W | Northern Arizona (+5.15) | 100% | 10.15 | |||||||
| #184 | Portland State | 2-5 | 25 | @ Northern Arizona | 38 | W | Northern Arizona (-19.64) | 100% | -6.64 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Northern Arizona | #177 | @ Southern Utah | 3-4 | W | Southern Utah (+1.71) | 54% | ||||||||||
| Northern Arizona | #190 | @ Cal Poly | 3-4 | W | Cal Poly (+5.21) | 63% | ||||||||||
| #149 | Weber State | 5-3 | @ Northern Arizona | W | Northern Arizona (-7.63) | 68% | ||||||||||
| #197 | Northern Colorado | 2-5 | @ Northern Arizona | W | Northern Arizona (-8.99) | 71% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 19-338.1%
- 28-432.1%
- 310-216.5%
- 47-511.7%
- 56-61.6%
Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 16.5%