rank#84
Montana State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Montana State | 54 | #237 | @ Utah Tech | 0-7 | 0 | W | Utah Tech (+22.00) | 100% | 32.00 | |||||||
| #203 | Butler | 3-2 | 24 | @ Montana State | 51 | W | Montana State (-45.32) | 100% | -18.32 | |||||||
| Montana State | 20 | #131 | @ Nevada | 2-4 | 7 | W | Nevada (+7.93) | 100% | 5.07 | |||||||
| #187 | Central Connecticut | 2-3 | 30 | @ Montana State | 35 | W | Montana State (-43.84) | 100% | -38.84 | |||||||
| #100 | Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 14 | @ Montana State | 28 | W | Montana State (-22.86) | 100% | -8.86 | |||||||
| Montana State | 34 | #152 | @ Idaho | 2-5 | 35 | L | Idaho (+15.83) | 0% | -16.83 | |||||||
| Montana State | 56 | #186 | @ Eastern Washington | 2-6 | 20 | W | Eastern Washington (+11.79) | 100% | 24.21 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #149 | Weber State | 5-3 | @ Montana State | W | Montana State (-19.07) | 87% | ||||||||||
| #190 | Cal Poly | 3-4 | @ Montana State | W | Montana State (-22.95) | 91% | ||||||||||
| Montana State | #164 | @ Idaho State | 4-3 | W | Idaho State (+9.41) | 72% | ||||||||||
| Montana State | #197 | @ Northern Colorado | 2-5 | W | Northern Colorado (+13.93) | 80% | ||||||||||
| #130 | Montana | 5-3 | @ Montana State | W | Montana State (-12.96) | 79% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 110-241.6%
- 211-135.8%
- 39-318.4%
- 48-43.9%
- 57-50.4%
- 66-6<0.1%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 35.8%