rank#20
Boise State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Boise State | 27 | #12 | @ Oregon | 4-2 | 34 | L | Oregon (-24.23) | 0% | 17.23 | |||||||
| #55 | Memphis | 5-2 | 20 | @ Boise State | 38 | W | Boise State (-6.28) | 100% | 11.72 | |||||||
| #92 | South Dakota | 6-2 | 24 | @ Boise State | 38 | W | Boise State (-18.84) | 100% | -4.84 | |||||||
| Boise State | 32 | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | 7 | W | Western Michigan (+0.08) | 100% | 24.92 | |||||||
| #107 | Utah State | 2-4 | 18 | @ Boise State | 37 | W | Boise State (-17.75) | 100% | 1.25 | |||||||
| Boise State | 38 | #76 | @ Fresno State | 4-3 | 31 | W | Fresno State (+8.03) | 100% | -1.03 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Boise State | #139 | @ Washington State | 1-6 | W | Washington State (+13.17) | 79% | ||||||||||
| #46 | Texas State | 3-3 | @ Boise State | W | Boise State (-8.82) | 71% | ||||||||||
| Boise State | #99 | @ Colorado State | 2-4 | W | Colorado State (+16.77) | 84% | ||||||||||
| #30 | Oregon State | 5-2 | @ Boise State | W | Boise State (-2.61) | 56% | ||||||||||
| #81 | San Diego State | 3-4 | @ Boise State | W | Boise State (-22.18) | 90% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 19-241.8%
- 28-326.0%
- 310-123.9%
- 47-47.3%
- 56-50.9%
- 65-6<0.1%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 23.9%