rank#39
UTSA
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | 16 | @ UTSA | 45 | W | UTSA (-23.61) | 100% | 5.39 | |||||||
| UTSA | 31 | #46 | @ Texas State | 3-3 | 26 | W | Texas State (+8.25) | 100% | -3.25 | |||||||
| UTSA | 6 | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | 30 | L | Texas (-20.18) | 0% | -3.82 | |||||||
| ✓ | #99 | Colorado State | 2-4 | 45 | @ UTSA | 59 | W | UTSA (-12.88) | 100% | 1.12 | ||||||
| UTSA | 16 | #142 | @ Rice | 1-6 | 14 | W | Rice (+14.65) | 100% | -12.65 | |||||||
| #71 | South Florida | 5-2 | 24 | @ UTSA | 31 | W | UTSA (-1.16) | 100% | 5.84 | |||||||
| #125 | Navy | 2-4 | 34 | @ UTSA | 38 | W | UTSA (-9.00) | 100% | -5.00 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| UTSA | #78 | @ Tulane | 3-3 | L | Tulane (-0.54) | 49% | ||||||||||
| UTSA | #97 | @ Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | W | Florida Atlantic (+4.49) | 61% | ||||||||||
| #42 | North Texas | 4-2 | @ UTSA | L | UTSA (+2.64) | 43% | ||||||||||
| UTSA | #106 | @ UAB | 4-3 | W | UAB (+5.55) | 64% | ||||||||||
| #87 | Tulsa | 4-3 | @ UTSA | W | UTSA (-5.04) | 62% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 19-334.5%
- 28-427.1%
- 310-221.3%
- 47-510.4%
- 511-15.1%
- 66-61.6%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 5.1%