rank#257
Valparaiso
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Valparaiso | 18 | #246 | @ Murray State | 1-6 | 27 | L | Murray State (-14.68) | 0% | 5.68 | |||||||
| Valparaiso | 16 | #188 | @ Indiana State | 2-5 | 39 | L | Indiana State (-22.04) | 0% | -0.96 | |||||||
| #203 | Butler | 3-2 | 33 | @ Valparaiso | 28 | L | Valparaiso (+16.01) | 0% | 11.01 | |||||||
| Valparaiso | 37 | #266 | @ Morehead State | 0-5 | 3 | W | Morehead State (+1.22) | 100% | 32.78 | |||||||
| #251 | Drake | 2-4 | 13 | @ Valparaiso | 21 | W | Valparaiso (+4.57) | 100% | 12.57 | |||||||
| Valparaiso | 13 | #245 | @ San Diego | 3-4 | 38 | L | San Diego (-2.00) | 0% | -23.00 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #247 | Presbyterian | 3-3 | @ Valparaiso | W | Valparaiso (-3.59) | 59% | ||||||||||
| Valparaiso | #212 | @ Dayton | 3-1 | L | Dayton (-9.43) | 28% | ||||||||||
| Valparaiso | #263 | @ Stetson | 0-6 | W | Stetson (+10.52) | 74% | ||||||||||
| #202 | St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | @ Valparaiso | L | Valparaiso (+6.62) | 34% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 14-641.4%
- 23-726.3%
- 35-523.1%
- 42-85.1%
- 56-44.2%
Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 4.2%