rank#246
Murray State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #220 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | 28 | @ Murray State | 14 | L | Murray State (-4.61) | 0% | -18.61 | |||||||
| Murray State | 14 | #159 | @ Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | 38 | L | Middle Tennessee (-19.70) | 0% | -4.30 | |||||||
| #257 | Valparaiso | 2-4 | 18 | @ Murray State | 27 | W | Murray State (-14.68) | 100% | -5.68 | |||||||
| Murray State | 0 | #32 | @ Oklahoma State | 4-2 | 59 | L | Oklahoma State (-29.92) | 0% | -29.08 | |||||||
| #171 | Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 46 | @ Murray State | 6 | L | Murray State (+17.44) | 0% | -22.56 | |||||||
| Murray State | 28 | #98 | @ North Dakota | 6-2 | 55 | L | North Dakota (-36.28) | 0% | 9.28 | |||||||
| #92 | South Dakota | 6-2 | 48 | @ Murray State | 20 | L | Murray State (+24.72) | 0% | -3.28 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Murray State | #90 | @ South Dakota State | 5-2 | L | South Dakota State (-33.36) | 3% | ||||||||||
| Murray State | #114 | @ Illinois State | 4-2 | L | Illinois State (-29.00) | 5% | ||||||||||
| #72 | Youngstown State | 6-2 | @ Murray State | L | Murray State (+27.92) | 6% | ||||||||||
| Murray State | #188 | @ Indiana State | 2-5 | L | Indiana State (-12.93) | 22% | ||||||||||
| #127 | Northern Iowa | 3-3 | @ Murray State | L | Murray State (+17.15) | 15% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 11-1157.3%
- 22-1034.8%
- 33-97.2%
- 44-80.6%
- 55-7<0.1%
- 66-6<0.1%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1%