rank#114
Illinois State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Illinois State | 41 | #199 | @ Western Illinois | 2-4 | 10 | W | Western Illinois (+14.54) | 100% | 16.46 | |||||||
| Illinois State | 28 | #175 | @ Northern Illinois | 0-6 | 24 | W | Northern Illinois (+6.82) | 100% | -2.82 | |||||||
| #220 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | 13 | @ Illinois State | 49 | W | Illinois State (-27.40) | 100% | 8.60 | |||||||
| Illinois State | 21 | #127 | @ Northern Iowa | 3-3 | 28 | L | Northern Iowa (+10.97) | 0% | -17.97 | |||||||
| #90 | South Dakota State | 5-2 | 31 | @ Illinois State | 14 | L | Illinois State (+1.54) | 0% | -15.46 | |||||||
| Illinois State | 35 | #171 | @ Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 14 | W | Southern Illinois (+3.91) | 100% | 17.09 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #188 | Indiana State | 2-5 | @ Illinois State | W | Illinois State (-16.32) | 84% | ||||||||||
| #246 | Murray State | 1-6 | @ Illinois State | W | Illinois State (-29.00) | 95% | ||||||||||
| Illinois State | #98 | @ North Dakota | 6-2 | L | North Dakota (-2.80) | 43% | ||||||||||
| Illinois State | #72 | @ Youngstown State | 6-2 | L | Youngstown State (-8.09) | 31% | ||||||||||
| #92 | South Dakota | 6-2 | @ Illinois State | W | Illinois State (-1.60) | 54% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 17-440.5%
- 28-326.5%
- 36-523.2%
- 49-25.7%
- 55-64.0%
- 64-70.2%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 5.7%