rank#199
Western Illinois
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #114 | Illinois State | 4-2 | 41 | @ Western Illinois | 10 | L | Western Illinois (+14.54) | 0% | -16.46 | |||||||
| Western Illinois | 9 | #33 | @ Wisconsin | 4-2 | 36 | L | Wisconsin (-37.70) | 0% | 10.70 | |||||||
| #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | 2 | @ Western Illinois | 59 | W | Western Illinois (-16.09) | 100% | 40.91 | |||||||
| Western Illinois | 20 | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | 23 | L | North Alabama (-1.77) | 0% | -1.23 | |||||||
| #210 | Tennessee State | 2-5 | 21 | @ Western Illinois | 28 | W | Western Illinois (-14.29) | 100% | -7.29 | |||||||
| Western Illinois | 30 | #155 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 40 | L | Southeast Missouri State (-5.42) | 0% | -4.58 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #191 | UT Martin | 3-4 | @ Western Illinois | W | Western Illinois (-2.95) | 57% | ||||||||||
| Western Illinois | #201 | @ Charleston Southern | 2-4 | W | Charleston Southern (+0.91) | 52% | ||||||||||
| Western Illinois | #220 | @ Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | W | Eastern Illinois (+4.85) | 62% | ||||||||||
| #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | @ Western Illinois | W | Western Illinois (-2.02) | 55% | ||||||||||
| Western Illinois | #219 | @ Lindenwood | 2-4 | W | Lindenwood (+3.49) | 59% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 15-634.3%
- 24-725.8%
- 36-522.7%
- 43-89.7%
- 57-46.0%
- 62-91.4%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 6.0%