rank#212
Dayton
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Dayton | 17 | #222 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 14 | W | Eastern Kentucky (-5.92) | 100% | 8.92 | |||||||
| Dayton | 22 | #251 | @ Drake | 2-4 | 30 | L | Drake (+0.31) | 0% | -8.31 | |||||||
| #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | 28 | @ Dayton | 56 | W | Dayton (-26.90) | 100% | 1.10 | |||||||
| Dayton | 19 | #203 | @ Butler | 3-2 | 9 | W | Butler (-8.20) | 100% | 18.20 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #245 | San Diego | 3-4 | @ Dayton | W | Dayton (-7.55) | 68% | ||||||||||
| Dayton | #263 | @ Stetson | 0-6 | W | Stetson (+16.90) | 84% | ||||||||||
| #257 | Valparaiso | 2-4 | @ Dayton | W | Dayton (-9.43) | 72% | ||||||||||
| #265 | Davidson | 2-4 | @ Dayton | W | Dayton (-28.09) | 94% | ||||||||||
| Dayton | #247 | @ Presbyterian | 3-3 | W | Presbyterian (+6.67) | 66% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 17-241.7%
- 28-125.8%
- 36-325.0%
- 45-46.7%
- 54-50.8%
- 63-6<0.1%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 25.8%