rank#29
North Carolina
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| North Carolina | 15 | #45 | TCU | 3-3 | 10 | ✓ | W | TCU (-12.09) | 100% | 17.09 | ||||||
| #122 | East Tennessee State | 4-2 | 3 | @ North Carolina | 35 | W | North Carolina (-23.55) | 100% | 8.45 | |||||||
| North Carolina | 20 | #35 | @ Clemson | 4-2 | 28 | L | Clemson (-5.97) | 0% | -2.03 | |||||||
| #2 | Notre Dame | 6-1 | 37 | @ North Carolina | 26 | L | North Carolina (+21.78) | 0% | 10.78 | |||||||
| North Carolina | 21 | #59 | @ Pittsburgh | 5-2 | 17 | W | Pittsburgh (-12.10) | 100% | 16.10 | |||||||
| North Carolina | 24 | #48 | @ Duke | 4-2 | 20 | W | Duke (-1.11) | 100% | 5.11 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #118 | Syracuse | 2-4 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-10.62) | 74% | ||||||||||
| #3 | Miami | 6-0 | @ North Carolina | L | North Carolina (+11.07) | 25% | ||||||||||
| North Carolina | #132 | @ UConn | 3-3 | W | UConn (+9.07) | 71% | ||||||||||
| #40 | Louisville | 4-3 | @ North Carolina | L | North Carolina (+0.12) | 50% | ||||||||||
| North Carolina | #86 | @ Virginia | 4-3 | W | Virginia (+2.27) | 56% | ||||||||||
| #77 | NC State | 3-3 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-9.76) | 73% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 18-432.1%
- 27-530.7%
- 39-315.7%
- 46-614.9%
- 55-73.6%
- 610-22.6%
Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 2.6%