rank#40
Louisville
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Louisville | 38 | #11 | Ole Miss | 5-1 | 41 | ✓ | L | Ole Miss (-6.39) | 0% | 3.39 | ||||||
| #206 | Villanova | 3-4 | 13 | @ Louisville | 59 | W | Louisville (-29.63) | 100% | 16.37 | |||||||
| #44 | SMU | 5-1 | 31 | @ Louisville | 41 | W | Louisville (-3.33) | 100% | 6.67 | |||||||
| #19 | Wake Forest | 6-1 | 30 | @ Louisville | 27 | L | Louisville (-13.57) | 0% | -16.57 | |||||||
| Louisville | 28 | #77 | @ NC State | 3-3 | 31 | L | NC State (-0.92) | 0% | -2.08 | |||||||
| #70 | Florida State | 3-4 | 20 | @ Louisville | 44 | W | Louisville (-2.40) | 100% | 21.60 | |||||||
| Louisville | 34 | ✓ | #118 | @ Syracuse | 2-4 | 26 | W | Syracuse (+8.66) | 100% | -0.66 | ||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #103 | Stanford | 3-4 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-27.34) | 94% | ||||||||||
| Louisville | #96 | @ Georgia Tech | 2-4 | W | Georgia Tech (+9.31) | 72% | ||||||||||
| Louisville | #29 | @ North Carolina | 4-2 | W | North Carolina (+0.12) | 50% | ||||||||||
| #59 | Pittsburgh | 5-2 | @ Louisville | W | Louisville (-6.76) | 66% | ||||||||||
| Louisville | #6 | @ Kentucky | 6-1 | L | Kentucky (-5.88) | 36% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 17-538.0%
- 28-430.1%
- 36-619.7%
- 49-38.0%
- 55-74.0%
- 64-80.2%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 8.0%