rank#48
Duke
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | 3 | @ Duke | 17 | W | Duke (-3.79) | 100% | 10.21 | |||||||
| Duke | 31 | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | 27 | W | Illinois (-5.51) | 100% | 9.51 | |||||||
| #103 | Stanford | 3-4 | 7 | @ Duke | 35 | W | Duke (-13.29) | 100% | 14.71 | |||||||
| #228 | William & Mary | 3-4 | 7 | @ Duke | 62 | W | Duke (-42.32) | 100% | 12.68 | |||||||
| Duke | 25 | #96 | @ Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 28 | L | Georgia Tech (+6.81) | 0% | -9.81 | |||||||
| #29 | North Carolina | 4-2 | 24 | @ Duke | 20 | L | Duke (-1.11) | 0% | -5.11 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Duke | #86 | @ Virginia | 4-3 | L | Virginia (-0.82) | 48% | ||||||||||
| #101 | Boston College | 3-3 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-10.83) | 75% | ||||||||||
| Duke | #77 | @ NC State | 3-3 | W | NC State (+0.43) | 51% | ||||||||||
| Duke | #3 | @ Miami | 6-0 | L | Miami (-19.88) | 12% | ||||||||||
| #35 | Clemson | 4-2 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-1.84) | 55% | ||||||||||
| Duke | #19 | @ Wake Forest | 6-1 | L | Wake Forest (-11.51) | 24% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 17-533.2%
- 26-630.3%
- 38-417.5%
- 45-712.9%
- 59-34.0%
- 64-82.0%
Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.3%