rank#15
Miami Heat
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #10 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-2.55) | 59% | ||||||||||
| #4 | Detroit Pistons | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+0.24) | 49% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #11 | @ Charlotte Hornets | 0-0 | L | Charlotte Hornets (-4.17) | 35% | ||||||||||
| #24 | Dallas Mavericks | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-7.80) | 76% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #13 | @ Atlanta Hawks | 0-0 | L | Atlanta Hawks (-2.23) | 42% | ||||||||||
| #27 | Indiana Pacers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-9.17) | 80% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #9 | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 0-0 | L | Los Angeles Lakers (-0.41) | 48% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #18 | @ Los Angeles Clippers | 0-0 | L | Los Angeles Clippers (-1.69) | 44% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #20 | @ Golden State Warriors | 0-0 | L | Golden State Warriors (-2.55) | 41% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #28 | @ Sacramento Kings | 0-0 | W | Sacramento Kings (+5.81) | 70% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #26 | @ Utah Jazz | 0-0 | W | Utah Jazz (+4.79) | 67% | ||||||||||
| #8 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-2.01) | 57% | ||||||||||
| #4 | Detroit Pistons | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+2.14) | 42% | ||||||||||
| #7 | Houston Rockets | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.36) | 62% | ||||||||||
| #22 | Milwaukee Bucks | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-8.36) | 78% | ||||||||||
| #1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+2.96) | 39% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #17 | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 0-0 | L | Philadelphia 76ers (-0.78) | 47% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #3 | @ New York Knicks | 0-0 | L | New York Knicks (-7.39) | 25% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #8 | @ Cleveland Cavaliers | 0-0 | L | Cleveland Cavaliers (-3.65) | 37% | ||||||||||
| #13 | Atlanta Hawks | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.27) | 62% | ||||||||||
| #30 | Washington Wizards | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-11.26) | 84% | ||||||||||
| #3 | New York Knicks | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+1.33) | 45% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #21 | @ Chicago Bulls | 0-0 | W | Chicago Bulls (+4.59) | 66% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #25 | @ Memphis Grizzlies | 0-0 | W | Memphis Grizzlies (+3.26) | 62% | ||||||||||
| #18 | Los Angeles Clippers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.76) | 64% | ||||||||||
| #28 | Sacramento Kings | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-10.36) | 82% | ||||||||||
| #21 | Chicago Bulls | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-5.77) | 70% | ||||||||||
| #21 | Chicago Bulls | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-7.67) | 76% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #5 | @ Boston Celtics | 0-0 | L | Boston Celtics (-6.16) | 29% | ||||||||||
| #11 | Charlotte Hornets | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.45) | 63% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #24 | @ Dallas Mavericks | 0-0 | W | Dallas Mavericks (+2.84) | 60% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #1 | @ Oklahoma City Thunder | 0-0 | L | Oklahoma City Thunder (-9.22) | 20% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #23 | @ New Orleans Pelicans | 0-0 | W | New Orleans Pelicans (+1.97) | 57% | ||||||||||
| #25 | Memphis Grizzlies | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-8.18) | 77% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #29 | @ Brooklyn Nets | 0-0 | W | Brooklyn Nets (+7.87) | 76% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #17 | @ Philadelphia 76ers | 0-0 | L | Philadelphia 76ers (-2.68) | 40% | ||||||||||
| #23 | New Orleans Pelicans | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-7.02) | 74% | ||||||||||
| #29 | Brooklyn Nets | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-12.35) | 86% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #3 | @ New York Knicks | 0-0 | L | New York Knicks (-5.49) | 31% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #12 | @ Toronto Raptors | 0-0 | L | Toronto Raptors (-4.98) | 32% | ||||||||||
| #20 | Golden State Warriors | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-4.69) | 67% | ||||||||||
| #19 | Portland Trail Blazers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-4.55) | 66% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #2 | @ San Antonio Spurs | 0-0 | L | San Antonio Spurs (-9.87) | 19% | ||||||||||
| #13 | Atlanta Hawks | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-5.17) | 68% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #29 | @ Brooklyn Nets | 0-0 | W | Brooklyn Nets (+5.97) | 71% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #22 | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 0-0 | W | Milwaukee Bucks (+3.46) | 63% | ||||||||||
| #17 | Philadelphia 76ers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-4.57) | 66% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #27 | @ Indiana Pacers | 0-0 | W | Indiana Pacers (+4.37) | 66% | ||||||||||
| #11 | Charlotte Hornets | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+0.15) | 49% | ||||||||||
| #22 | Milwaukee Bucks | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-9.59) | 81% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #10 | @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 0-0 | L | Minnesota Timberwolves (-3.47) | 37% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #13 | @ Atlanta Hawks | 0-0 | L | Atlanta Hawks (-0.65) | 48% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #30 | @ Washington Wizards | 0-0 | W | Washington Wizards (+8.33) | 78% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #14 | @ Orlando Magic | 0-0 | L | Orlando Magic (-2.25) | 42% | ||||||||||
| #29 | Brooklyn Nets | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-11.99) | 86% | ||||||||||
| #2 | San Antonio Spurs | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+4.05) | 35% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #30 | @ Washington Wizards | 0-0 | W | Washington Wizards (+8.33) | 78% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #4 | @ Detroit Pistons | 0-0 | L | Detroit Pistons (-7.01) | 26% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #7 | @ Houston Rockets | 0-0 | L | Houston Rockets (-4.85) | 33% | ||||||||||
| #12 | Toronto Raptors | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-2.87) | 61% | ||||||||||
| #12 | Toronto Raptors | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-2.87) | 61% | ||||||||||
| #27 | Indiana Pacers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-10.52) | 83% | ||||||||||
| #16 | Phoenix Suns | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.85) | 64% | ||||||||||
| #14 | Orlando Magic | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-5.91) | 71% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #22 | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 0-0 | W | Milwaukee Bucks (+5.81) | 70% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #6 | @ Denver Nuggets | 0-0 | L | Denver Nuggets (-4.85) | 33% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #19 | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 0-0 | W | Portland Trail Blazers (+0.97) | 54% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #16 | @ Phoenix Suns | 0-0 | L | Phoenix Suns (-2.43) | 41% | ||||||||||
| #6 | Denver Nuggets | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.56) | 63% | ||||||||||
| #9 | Los Angeles Lakers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-3.66) | 63% | ||||||||||
| #26 | Utah Jazz | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-10.95) | 84% | ||||||||||
| #5 | Boston Celtics | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | L | Miami Heat (+0.29) | 49% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #8 | @ Cleveland Cavaliers | 0-0 | L | Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.15) | 35% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #11 | @ Charlotte Hornets | 0-0 | L | Charlotte Hornets (-6.64) | 27% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #5 | @ Boston Celtics | 0-0 | L | Boston Celtics (-5.10) | 32% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #4 | @ Detroit Pistons | 0-0 | L | Detroit Pistons (-7.01) | 26% | ||||||||||
| Miami Heat | #14 | @ Orlando Magic | 0-0 | L | Orlando Magic (-4.15) | 35% | ||||||||||
| #17 | Philadelphia 76ers | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-5.23) | 69% | ||||||||||
| #30 | Washington Wizards | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-11.02) | 84% | ||||||||||
| #14 | Orlando Magic | 0-0 | @ Miami Heat | W | Miami Heat (-4.01) | 65% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 145-359.7%
- 246-349.4%
- 344-369.4%
- 447-338.7%
- 543-378.5%
- 648-327.5%
Chance of winning all 80 remaining games: <0.1%