rank#25
North Carolina
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||
| #239 | W Carolina | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-22.02) | 97% | ||||||||
| #235 | Wofford | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-22.89) | 97% | ||||||||
| #92 | Wyoming | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-11.69) | 86% | ||||||||
| #34 | Georgia | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-3.88) | 64% | ||||||||
| #169 | Marshall | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-19.56) | 95% | ||||||||
| #182 | Monmouth NJ | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-18.84) | 95% | ||||||||
| #65 | West Virginia | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | W | North Carolina (-4.05) | 65% | |||||||
| #14 | Arkansas | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-1.56) | 56% | ||||||||
| #83 | Butler | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-9.58) | 81% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #87 | @ Georgetown | 0-0 | W | Georgetown (+2.73) | 60% | ||||||||
| #39 | NC State | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | W | North Carolina (-0.79) | 53% | |||||||
| #32 | Kentucky | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | L | North Carolina (+0.32) | 49% | |||||||
| #347 | Citadel | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-30.53) | 99% | ||||||||
| #61 | California | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-8.60) | 79% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #158 | @ Boston College | 0-0 | W | Boston College (+7.40) | 76% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #21 | @ Louisville | 0-0 | L | Louisville (-6.09) | 28% | ||||||||
| #39 | NC State | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-4.19) | 66% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #70 | @ Florida St | 0-0 | W | Florida St (+1.77) | 57% | ||||||||
| #53 | Stanford | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-7.79) | 77% | ||||||||
| #17 | Virginia | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-1.90) | 57% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #89 | @ Syracuse | 0-0 | W | Syracuse (+2.73) | 60% | ||||||||
| #45 | SMU | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-5.18) | 69% | ||||||||
| #6 | Illinois | 0-0 | North Carolina | ✓ | L | North Carolina (+5.97) | 29% | |||||||
| North Carolina | #100 | @ Notre Dame | 0-0 | W | Notre Dame (+3.88) | 64% | ||||||||
| #166 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-16.26) | 92% | ||||||||
| #21 | Louisville | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-0.88) | 53% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #3 | @ Duke | 0-0 | L | Duke (-13.38) | 11% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #68 | @ Wake Forest | 0-0 | W | Wake Forest (+1.26) | 55% | ||||||||
| #33 | Miami FL | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | W | North Carolina (-4.09) | 65% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #55 | @ Virginia Tech | 0-0 | W | Virginia Tech (+0.73) | 53% | ||||||||
| North Carolina | #107 | @ Pittsburgh | 0-0 | W | Pittsburgh (+4.10) | 65% | ||||||||
| #3 | Duke | 0-0 | @ North Carolina | L | North Carolina (+4.87) | 32% | ||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 121-1116.5%
- 220-1215.2%
- 322-1015.0%
- 419-1312.0%
- 523-911.5%
- 618-148.0%
Chance of winning all 32 remaining games: <0.1%