rank#74
Toledo
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| Toledo | 20 | #79 | @ Michigan State | 2-5 | 30 | L | Michigan State (-0.54) | 0% | -9.46 | |||||||
| #187 | Central Connecticut | 2-3 | 10 | @ Toledo | 63 | W | Toledo (-36.76) | 100% | 16.24 | |||||||
| #140 | Temple | 2-5 | 48 | @ Toledo | 49 | W | Toledo (-12.83) | 100% | -11.83 | |||||||
| #81 | San Diego State | 3-4 | 16 | @ Toledo | 41 | W | Toledo (-11.04) | 100% | 13.96 | |||||||
| Toledo | 39 | #138 | @ Ball State | 2-5 | 24 | W | Ball State (+24.17) | 100% | -9.17 | |||||||
| #109 | Buffalo | 4-3 | 23 | @ Toledo | 8 | L | Toledo (-27.18) | 0% | -42.18 | |||||||
| Toledo | 34 | #134 | @ Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | 14 | W | Eastern Michigan (+10.15) | 100% | 9.85 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #50 | Western Michigan | 5-2 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-5.37) | 63% | ||||||||||
| Toledo | #224 | @ Sacramento State | 1-6 | W | Sacramento State (+21.23) | 89% | ||||||||||
| #143 | Massachusetts | 4-3 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-14.80) | 81% | ||||||||||
| #147 | Bowling Green | 2-5 | @ Toledo | W | Toledo (-18.85) | 87% | ||||||||||
| Toledo | #73 | @ Ohio | 5-2 | L | Ohio (-1.07) | 47% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 19-341.4%
- 28-429.8%
- 310-218.9%
- 47-58.8%
- 56-61.1%
- 65-70.1%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 18.9%