rank#79
Michigan State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #74 | Toledo | 5-2 | 20 | @ Michigan State | 30 | W | Michigan State (-0.54) | 100% | 9.46 | |||||||
| #134 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | 7 | @ Michigan State | 35 | W | Michigan State (-17.01) | 100% | 10.99 | |||||||
| Michigan State | 10 | #2 | @ Notre Dame | 6-1 | 27 | L | Notre Dame (-24.36) | 0% | 7.36 | |||||||
| #24 | Nebraska | 5-2 | 31 | @ Michigan State | 13 | L | Michigan State (+4.34) | 0% | -13.66 | |||||||
| Michigan State | 3 | #33 | @ Wisconsin | 4-2 | 31 | L | Wisconsin (-5.84) | 0% | -22.16 | |||||||
| #64 | Illinois | 3-3 | 38 | @ Michigan State | 37 | L | Michigan State (+1.79) | 0% | 0.79 | |||||||
| #22 | Northwestern | 5-1 | 24 | @ Michigan State | 21 | L | Michigan State (+8.82) | 0% | 5.82 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Michigan State | #1 | @ UCLA | 6-0 | L | UCLA (-13.99) | 20% | ||||||||||
| Michigan State | #38 | @ Michigan | 4-2 | L | Michigan (-5.89) | 36% | ||||||||||
| #62 | Washington | 4-3 | @ Michigan State | W | Michigan State (-2.17) | 55% | ||||||||||
| #12 | Oregon | 4-2 | @ Michigan State | L | Michigan State (+12.82) | 22% | ||||||||||
| Michigan State | #111 | @ Rutgers | 2-4 | W | Rutgers (+7.76) | 68% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 14-838.3%
- 23-925.5%
- 35-723.7%
- 46-66.2%
- 52-105.7%
- 67-50.6%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.6%