rank#43
Iowa State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #155 | Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 10 | @ Iowa State | 38 | W | Iowa State (-38.63) | 100% | -10.63 | |||||||
| Iowa State | 13 | #21 | @ Iowa | 5-1 | 16 | L | Iowa (-13.39) | 0% | 10.39 | |||||||
| #147 | Bowling Green | 2-5 | 7 | @ Iowa State | 55 | W | Iowa State (-28.17) | 100% | 19.83 | |||||||
| #15 | Utah | 6-0 | 31 | @ Iowa State | 17 | L | Iowa State (+5.99) | 0% | -8.01 | |||||||
| #68 | West Virginia | 4-3 | 42 | @ Iowa State | 45 | W | Iowa State (-13.21) | 100% | -10.21 | |||||||
| Iowa State | 10 | #7 | @ BYU | 6-0 | 24 | L | BYU (-8.29) | 0% | -5.71 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Iowa State | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | L | Arizona (-6.99) | 33% | ||||||||||
| #32 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | @ Iowa State | L | Iowa State (+0.34) | 49% | ||||||||||
| Iowa State | #36 | @ Baylor | 4-2 | L | Baylor (-4.72) | 38% | ||||||||||
| #49 | Cincinnati | 4-2 | @ Iowa State | W | Iowa State (-7.12) | 67% | ||||||||||
| Iowa State | #53 | @ UCF | 3-3 | L | UCF (-2.64) | 43% | ||||||||||
| #47 | Kansas State | 4-2 | @ Iowa State | W | Iowa State (-3.26) | 58% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 16-632.1%
- 25-725.5%
- 37-521.8%
- 44-810.3%
- 58-47.6%
- 63-91.6%
Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.1%