rank#61

Penn State

3-4 · 2026 College Football · 7 played, 5 to go

  • W blue = this team won · L red = lost
  • W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
  • Bold = winning team and score

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AwayHomeGameResult vs. expectation
DateQB1 outRankTeamRecordScoreQB1 outRankTeamRecordScoreNeutralPlayoffOutcomeExpectedWin prob.Deviation
#146Marshall3-30@ Penn State45WPenn State (-23.54)100%21.46
Penn State27#140@ Temple2-59WTemple (+13.39)100%4.61
#109Buffalo4-313@ Penn State55WPenn State (-36.69)100%5.31
#33Wisconsin4-224@ Penn State20LPenn State (-16.82)0%-20.82
Penn State13#22@ Northwestern5-134LNorthwestern (+2.92)0%-23.92
#23USC6-131@ Penn State23LPenn State (-3.41)0%-11.41
Penn State18#38@ Michigan4-221LMichigan (-3.65)0%0.65
Still to play
#56Purdue3-4@ Penn StateWPenn State (-6.98)67%
Penn State#62@ Washington4-3LWashington (-0.18)50%
#60Minnesota4-2@ Penn StateWPenn State (-9.78)73%
#111Rutgers2-4@ Penn StateWPenn State (-15.34)82%
Penn State#119@ Maryland2-5WMaryland (+11.95)77%

Projected record

Most likely final records
  1. 17-536.6%
  2. 26-632.2%
  3. 38-415.2%
  4. 45-713.2%
  5. 54-82.6%
  6. 63-90.2%

Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 15.2%

0%10%20%30%40%3-94-85-76-67-58-4final record6543213-9: 0.2%4-8: 2.6%5-7: 13.2%6-6: 32.2%7-5: 36.6%8-4: 15.2%

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