rank#102
Tarleton State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #221 | Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 30 | @ Tarleton State | 49 | W | Tarleton State (-23.26) | 100% | -4.26 | |||||||
| Tarleton State | 20 | #147 | @ Bowling Green | 2-5 | 13 | W | Bowling Green (+9.05) | 100% | -2.05 | |||||||
| Tarleton State | 27 | #179 | @ McNeese | 2-4 | 24 | W | McNeese (+13.50) | 100% | -10.50 | |||||||
| #244 | Merrimack | 2-5 | 20 | @ Tarleton State | 45 | W | Tarleton State (-30.40) | 100% | -5.40 | |||||||
| #262 | Chicago State | 0-5 | 21 | @ Tarleton State | 56 | W | Tarleton State (-29.07) | 100% | 5.93 | |||||||
| Tarleton State | 40 | #135 | @ Austin Peay | 6-2 | 32 | W | Austin Peay (-2.95) | 100% | 10.95 | |||||||
| #205 | Central Arkansas | 1-5 | 35 | @ Tarleton State | 49 | W | Tarleton State (-17.12) | 100% | -3.12 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State | #252 | @ West Georgia | 0-6 | W | West Georgia (+14.00) | 80% | ||||||||||
| #222 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | @ Tarleton State | W | Tarleton State (-17.17) | 85% | ||||||||||
| #121 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | @ Tarleton State | W | Tarleton State (-4.41) | 61% | ||||||||||
| Tarleton State | #151 | @ West Florida | 3-2 | W | West Florida (+2.50) | 56% | ||||||||||
| Tarleton State | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | W | North Alabama (+3.33) | 58% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 111-134.8%
- 210-233.6%
- 39-314.9%
- 412-013.5%
- 58-43.0%
- 67-50.2%
Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 13.5%