rank#123
App State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #254 | Maine | 1-6 | 3 | @ App State | 55 | W | App State (-14.01) | 100% | 37.99 | |||||||
| App State | 27 | #128 | @ East Carolina | 3-3 | 24 | W | East Carolina (-9.04) | 100% | 12.04 | |||||||
| #176 | Charlotte | 1-6 | 21 | @ App State | 26 | W | App State (-18.91) | 100% | -13.91 | |||||||
| App State | 31 | #77 | @ NC State | 3-3 | 41 | L | NC State (-18.26) | 0% | 8.26 | |||||||
| #160 | Old Dominion | 2-5 | 10 | @ App State | 3 | L | App State (-7.43) | 0% | -14.43 | |||||||
| App State | 35 | #157 | @ Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | 32 | W | Coastal Carolina (+1.28) | 100% | 1.72 | |||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #26 | James Madison | 7-0 | @ App State | L | App State (+15.77) | 17% | ||||||||||
| App State | #94 | @ Georgia Southern | 3-4 | L | Georgia Southern (-12.59) | 22% | ||||||||||
| #91 | Georgia State | 4-2 | @ App State | L | App State (+5.99) | 35% | ||||||||||
| App State | #146 | @ Marshall | 3-3 | W | Marshall (+3.63) | 59% | ||||||||||
| #196 | UL Monroe | 0-6 | @ App State | W | App State (-13.92) | 80% | ||||||||||
| App State | #67 | @ South Alabama | 4-2 | L | South Alabama (-7.21) | 33% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 16-634.2%
- 27-531.1%
- 35-716.0%
- 48-413.5%
- 59-32.7%
- 64-82.3%
Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.2%