rank#28
Mississippi State
- W blue = this team won · L red = lost
- W orange = projected result of a game not yet played
- Bold = winning team and score
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| Away | Home | Game | Result vs. expectation | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | QB1 out | Rank | Team | Record | Score | Neutral | Playoff | Outcome | Expected | Win prob. | Deviation |
| #196 | UL Monroe | 0-6 | 13 | @ Mississippi State | 62 | W | Mississippi State (-24.73) | 100% | 24.27 | |||||||
| Mississippi State | 38 | #60 | @ Minnesota | 4-2 | 13 | W | Minnesota (-3.59) | 100% | 28.59 | |||||||
| Mississippi State | 41 | #37 | @ South Carolina | 3-3 | 34 | W | South Carolina (-4.59) | 100% | 11.59 | |||||||
| #31 | Missouri | 5-2 | 24 | @ Mississippi State | 31 | W | Mississippi State (-6.67) | 100% | 0.33 | |||||||
| #8 | Alabama | 5-2 | 56 | @ Mississippi State | 23 | L | Mississippi State (+8.83) | 0% | -24.17 | |||||||
| ✓ | Mississippi State | 0 | #5 | @ LSU | 5-2 | 31 | L | LSU (-13.94) | 0% | -17.06 | ||||||
| Still to play | ||||||||||||||||
| #34 | Oklahoma | 3-3 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-1.34) | 53% | ||||||||||
| Mississippi State | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | L | Texas (-12.14) | 23% | ||||||||||
| #85 | Vanderbilt | 3-4 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-12.86) | 78% | ||||||||||
| #27 | Auburn | 4-2 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-1.59) | 54% | ||||||||||
| #112 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | @ Mississippi State | W | Mississippi State (-29.85) | 95% | ||||||||||
| Mississippi State | #11 | @ Ole Miss | 5-1 | L | Ole Miss (-10.06) | 27% | ||||||||||
Projected record
Most likely final records
- 17-535.9%
- 28-430.4%
- 36-618.2%
- 49-310.7%
- 55-73.3%
- 610-21.3%
Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.3%